Pre-tourney Rankings
Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.7#44
Expected Predictive Rating+12.3#33
Pace71.9#131
Improvement+2.5#76

Offense
Total Offense+7.9#28
First Shot+7.4#20
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#136
Layup/Dunks+3.3#50
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#126
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#112
Freethrows+1.7#67
Improvement+3.4#33

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#102
First Shot+2.3#100
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#123
Layups/Dunks+1.1#136
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#273
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#251
Freethrows+3.9#10
Improvement-0.8#222
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 2.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round47.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen10.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.6% n/a n/a
Final Four1.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 230   Drexel W 82-81 94%     1 - 0 -6.0 +2.5 -8.5
  Nov 15, 2015 303   Niagara W 73-62 97%     2 - 0 -1.2 -8.5 +6.6
  Nov 18, 2015 136   Buffalo W 89-67 86%     3 - 0 +21.0 +10.7 +9.0
  Nov 21, 2015 37   Florida L 63-74 46%     3 - 1 +0.6 -4.1 +5.2
  Nov 22, 2015 118   Old Dominion W 66-64 76%     4 - 1 +5.1 +4.9 +0.5
  Dec 01, 2015 5   Villanova L 72-86 30%     4 - 2 +2.0 +10.8 -9.7
  Dec 04, 2015 123   @ Columbia W 80-78 68%     5 - 2 +7.7 +9.4 -1.6
  Dec 08, 2015 76   Princeton W 62-50 72%     6 - 2 +16.6 -11.7 +28.1
  Dec 13, 2015 84   @ Temple W 66-65 OT 54%     7 - 2 +10.5 -6.2 +16.6
  Dec 19, 2015 121   Illinois St. W 79-65 84%     8 - 2 +14.0 +11.8 +2.8
  Dec 22, 2015 61   Virginia Tech W 79-62 57%     9 - 2 +25.9 +7.6 +17.7
  Dec 29, 2015 319   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-68 98%     10 - 2 -3.8 -0.4 -3.1
  Jan 02, 2016 103   @ Richmond W 77-73 60%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +11.9 +5.9 +6.1
  Jan 05, 2016 35   Virginia Commonwealth L 82-85 57%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +5.8 +6.1 +0.0
  Jan 10, 2016 90   Rhode Island W 72-67 76%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +8.3 +4.7 +3.8
  Jan 13, 2016 196   @ George Mason W 87-73 82%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +14.8 +11.1 +2.9
  Jan 16, 2016 148   Fordham W 80-55 88%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +23.1 +9.9 +14.0
  Jan 20, 2016 245   @ Penn W 75-60 88%     15 - 3 +13.1 +4.9 +8.8
  Jan 24, 2016 250   @ La Salle W 69-48 89%     16 - 3 5 - 1 +18.5 +3.9 +17.0
  Jan 27, 2016 162   Massachusetts W 78-70 89%     17 - 3 6 - 1 +5.1 +0.5 +4.1
  Jan 30, 2016 90   @ Rhode Island W 64-55 56%     18 - 3 7 - 1 +18.2 -5.0 +22.9
  Feb 03, 2016 83   St. Bonaventure L 73-83 74%     18 - 4 7 - 2 -6.1 +1.6 -8.1
  Feb 06, 2016 148   @ Fordham W 82-60 74%     19 - 4 8 - 2 +25.9 +10.5 +14.9
  Feb 10, 2016 72   @ George Washington W 84-66 50%     20 - 4 9 - 2 +28.7 +27.4 +3.9
  Feb 13, 2016 250   La Salle W 88-62 95%     21 - 4 10 - 2 +17.7 +12.8 +5.1
  Feb 17, 2016 58   Dayton W 79-70 66%     22 - 4 11 - 2 +15.5 +9.2 +5.9
  Feb 20, 2016 105   @ Davidson L 93-99 61%     22 - 5 11 - 3 +1.8 +11.9 -9.7
  Feb 24, 2016 162   @ Massachusetts W 74-57 77%     23 - 5 12 - 3 +19.9 +5.3 +14.9
  Feb 28, 2016 211   Saint Louis W 77-63 93%     24 - 5 13 - 3 +7.8 +3.6 +4.0
  Mar 02, 2016 83   St. Bonaventure L 90-98 65%     24 - 6 13 - 4 -1.2 +11.6 -12.2
  Mar 05, 2016 151   Duquesne L 70-78 88%     24 - 7 13 - 5 -10.1 -6.4 -3.5
  Mar 11, 2016 72   George Washington W 86-80 61%     25 - 7 +13.8 +18.5 -4.5
  Mar 12, 2016 58   Dayton W 82-79 55%     26 - 7 +12.4 +5.9 +6.1
  Mar 13, 2016 35   Virginia Commonwealth W 87-74 46%     27 - 7 +24.7 +20.2 +4.3
Projected Record 27.0 - 7.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 8.1 0.0 2.6 27.3 38.4 25.6 5.8 0.2
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 8.1 0.0 2.6 27.3 38.4 25.6 5.8 0.2